Storm This Afternoon....

Updating on the road this morning. Most areas starting off with clouds left over from storms that affected Nashville last night. I expect a active weather day across East Tennessee as the frontal boundary and upper level trough move through the region. The SPC still has all of East Tennessee in a slight risk today. Main threat will be damaging winds and heavy rain. Today will see highs in the lower to mid 80s. Clearing some for the weekend with highs in the lower to mid 80s. Will try to have a update later this afternoon. Stay safe out there.

Fog To Start....

Some areas are seeing some fog to start the day with temperatures in the in the lower 60 to upper 60s. I expect fog to clear and mostly sunny skies to prevail. Highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Tomorrow will be the more interesting weather day as cold front and strong upper level trough move to the east. This will give way to good chances of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon with highs in the mid to upper 80s. The Storm Prediction Center has issued a slight risk over all of Eastern Tennessee for Friday.

SPC Day 2 Convective Outlook for Friday at 8AM to Saturday at 8 AM EDT

The main risk will be strong winds and heavy rain. Saturday expect some clearing with partly cloudy skies and highs in the lower to mid 80s. Sunday there is some disagreement with chances of showers in the models. Right now will go with a chance of showers and highs in the lower to mid 80s. We clear out into early next week with highs in the lower to mid 80s.

Light Rain To Start....

Some areas are seeing some showers this morning as upper level disturbance and frontal system finally make there way through and out of the region.

GRLevel 2 Radar at 9:10 AM EDT/ Frontal Analysis at 5 AM EDT

I do expect some clearing later today with highs in the lower to mid 80s depending on cloud cover. Tomorrow will be warm with mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. A unseasonably strong upper level trough will begin affecting the area going into Friday.

NCEP 500mb Height/Wind/Vorticity for Friday at 2 PM EDT as modeled by NAM on Left and GFS on right

This will bring good chances of showers and thunderstorms as frontal boundary moves into the area. Right now it does look like the severe threat will be low, but can't rule out isolated severe threat. The weekend will see partly sunny skies and highs in the lower to mid 80s. Clearing out going into early next week with highs forecast to be in the low to mid 80s.

Starting Off With Showers And Storms....

Some Areas are starting off with some showers and thunderstorms this morning including Knoxville with temperatures in the mid to upper 60s.

GRLevel 2 Radar at 8:02 AM EDT/Frontal Analysis at 5 AM EDT

Today I expect showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon with approaching frontal boundary. The chances of strong to severe storms is low, but possible as instability is forecast to be in the 1000 g/kg range. Main threat would be isolated strong wind. Highs will be in the lower to mid 80s. Tomorrow expect mostly to partly cloudy skies with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Thursday will be partly cloudy with highs in the upper 80s. Next best chance of Precipitation will be going into Friday and Early Saturday as yet another frontal boundary and associated upper level wave move through the region.

Chances Of Rain Return....

Starting off the morning in the lower 60s across much of the area with Tri-Cities the cooler spot in the upper 50s. I hope you enjoyed a beautiful weekend with highs in the lower to mid 80s and Clear skies. Today should be another nice day with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 80s. I expect clouds to move in later tonight with chances of showers and storms late. Tomorrow showers and storms possible in the early morning and then more showers and storms possible later in the afternoon. This activity will be kicked off by a cold front that is approaching the region.

SimuAWIPS Frontal Analysis for Early Monday

Some of the storms later tomorrow could be strong with strong wind and heavy rain. Weather clears up for Wednesday with mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid to upper 80s. Next chances of precipitation will be late Friday into Saturday as yet another cold front moves through the region. This is a active pattern for August with multiple longwave troughs moving through the region.

Dry And Cooler Day....

Starting off the morning for most areas in the upper 60s with cloud cover.  Expect a great day ahead with frontal boundary southeast of the area mostly sunny skies will prevail.  Highs will be in the lower to mid 80s.

SimuAWIPS Frontal Position at 6:30 AM EDT and Visible Satellite at 9:05 AM EDT

Continued dry tomorrow with mostly sunny skies and highs a touch warmer in the mid to upper 80s.  Another frontal boundary will approach the area late Monday night into Tuesday bringing chances of showers and thunderstorms.  Slight chances for Wednesday into Thursday and another trough and frontal boundary moves into the region for Friday.

SimuAWIPS GFS 500mb Height/Wind For Friday Aug. 17 at 2 PM EDT

I expect highs Monday through Thursday in the mid to upper 80s for the Valley and Northeast Tennessee and upper 80s to lower 90s for the Southern Valley.

Starting Off With Showers....

Good morning folks we are starting off with a few pre-frontal showers this morning.  Quite a few areas will be getting wet with showers stretching across all of East Tennessee.

GRLevel 2 Radar at 8:21 AM EDT

I expect as the front approaches and moves through the region we will have better chances of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon.  The big question this morning is will the atmosphere recover from this morning and yesterday.  Right now I think we will have enough to produce some strong to possibly severe storms this afternoon with heavy rains and wind being the biggest impact.  The timing on this should be this afternoon around 2 to 3 PM.  Highs will be in the lower to mid 80s with cloud cover and precip.  Tomorrow I expect much drier and cooler conditions with some cloud cover.  Highs will be in the lower to mid 80s.  Sunday mostly sunny and drier with highs in the mid to upper 80s.  Chances of precipitation return for Tuesday along with dewpoints back in the 60s.

Quick Forecast Update....

Due to some work this morning I was unable to send out the regular forecast.  We do have ongoing storms at this time with some severe.  Expect this line of storms to push through the area over the next few hours.  Good chances of storms will exist tomorrow with best chance being around 12 to 5 PM.  Some of these storms could be strong with highs in the lower to mid 80s.  Clearing out for Saturday with highs in the lower  to mid 80s.  Remember to follow on Facebook or Twitter for the latest on the severe weather coming through the area.