Showers And Thunderstorms Likely....

Today expect showers and thunderstorms to become likely as we go into the afternoon.  It will still be a warm day with highs in the lower 90s and heat indices in the mid 90s.  Hopefully the cloud cover will keep the temperatures down.  It does look like this frontal boundary in forecasted to become more quasi-stationary over and just south of the region for much of the week bring chances of showers and thunderstorms mainly in the afternoon.  If you have outdoor plans keep a eye to the skies for quickly changing conditions.  Also expect cooler temperatures by mid week with highs getting into the lower to mid 80s.

Changing Pattern....

Hope everyone had a safe and fun weekend.  Surface analysis this morning is indicating the frontal boundary that has been to the north has moved south almost into far North Kentucky.  This will become the main weather player going into the work week.  Today expect chances of showers and thunderstorms to be on the increase with highs in the lower to mid 90s.  Shower and thunderstorm chances increase greatly going into Monday and Tuesday with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s.  There will be chances of showers and thunderstorms through the week as the frontal boundary is forecasted to slow meander south.

Remember for the latest updates and advisory information for East Tennessee follow me on Twitter or ETweather Facebook page.

Chances Of Showers And Thunderstorms Again....

Well folks I hope many of you have power restored, or will soon with some reports of power still out in some parts of the region.  Numerous reports of wind damage across the area as storms slowly moved through the East Tennessee yesterday.

NWS Local Storm Reports wind reports in blue and hail in green

This morning we started off with some fog across the region.  I do expect there to be more showers and thunderstorms today.  These will be triggered by another upper level disturbance that will swing through the area.  Another hot one today with highs in the mid to upper 90s.  Saturday expect shower and thunderstorm chances mainly in the higher terrain with highs in the mid to upper 90s.  The big story here will be the high heat indices, so drink plenty of water and limit time outdoors.

The next big story will be the major change in the pattern across the Eastern US.  This will begin changing Sunday with highs expected to be in the upper 80s to lower 90s as a trough begins to setup over the Eastern US.  This also means chances of precipitation will increase early this next week as a frontal boundary begins to move south slowly across the area.  This will bring some much needed rain.  Also the temperatures will get back closer to normal for this time of year with highs in the mid to upper 80s depending on cloud cover.

HPC 48-HR Rainfall Totals for 8AM EDT Monday to 8AM EDT Wednesday

Greater Chances Of Showers And Thunderstorms....

Forecast Discussion:

Well folks a busy and changing forecast has presented itself this morning.  I do expect a increase chance of showers and thunderstorms today with a approaching upper level disturbance that is producing a MCS across the Ohio Valley this morning.  The air mass across the area if forecasted to be moist and unstable.  This will give way to chances for damaging winds, heavy rain and hail.  This has prompted the Storm Prediction Center to put all of East Tennessee under a slight risk for Severe Storms.  If you have outdoor plans this afternoon please keep a eye to the sky as conditions could change rapidly.  Also be sure to follow us on Twitter or Facebook for updated warnings.  Highs today will be in the lower to mid 90s.

SPC Slight Risk is the area inside the green line updated at 8:40 AM EDT

Now moving forward into Friday and Saturday where the story will be the return of the heat with highs expected to be in the upper 90s with 100s possible is some spots.  These high temperatures coupled with the moist air mass will lead to high heat indices.  There will also be chances of showers and thunderstorms mainly in the higher terrain.  If you have plans for the weekend make sure you drink plenty of water and limit time outdoors.

Twister Data NAM 12Z/8AM forecast for surface temperatures for Saturday at 2 PM EDT

Then going into Sunday through Tuesday we have increase chances for rain with a frontal boundary proged to move south into the Tennessee Valley.  The exact timing of this system is still a little uncertain as models have been some what different.  GFS MOS data does indicate that temperatures will drop into the 80s with some much needed rain occurring across the area.  I will keep you updated on this as forecast becomes clearer on timing.

HPC forecasted Precipitation from Sunday at 8AM to Tuesday at 8AM

Some Relief....

Yesterday was another hot one with Knoxville and Chattanooga meeting the all time record high once again. Some relief came to the area last night in the form of showers and thunderstorms with 23 severe thunderstorms warnings issued across the region.  I hope you saw some rain with preliminary report out of Knoxville was 0.62 inches for the storm event.  I do expect the chances of afternoon showers and thunderstorms to be on the increase over the next several days as upper level disturbances move across the region.  Today will be another hot one with temperatures in the upper 90s to lower 100s.  Tuesday we begin to see the highs drop a bit with highs in the lower to mid 90s.

Be sure to follow me on facebook or twitter for the latest weather information

More Storms Continue To Fire....

Upper Level disturbance moving across the area has fired off multiple showers and thunderstorms. Just a little relief.